Bill Saar

Bill Saar has worked 327 NBA games, building a track record bettors can read clearly. His personal foul rate sits 1.3% below league average at 45.4 per game — he lets play run. Saar does not swallow the whistle on borderline contact, which compresses foul totals and keeps possession counts cleaner than refs who call the touch foul. His free throw attempt average of 55.5 per game lands exactly at the league mean, a 0.0% deviation, meaning the lower foul count does not fully suppress FTA volume — teams are still getting to the line at a normal clip despite the looser standard. The number that demands the most attention is his home team win rate: 63.6%. The league baseline for home wins sits around 58-59%, so Saar's games run roughly five points hotter for the home side. Back home teams against the spread in his games until that number regresses.

Career stats

Home vs visitor

Home teams win 63.6% of games officiated by Bill. That's well above the league's ~57% home-court baseline — a signal his crews lean home when the game is close.