MLBANALYSIS

Blue Jays, Rangers Fight for Their Postseason Lives in Crucial Late-Season Series

Toronto runs into Jacob deGrom, who has once again looked like one of the game’s premier pitchers down the stretch.

Doug Whiteside
Doug Whiteside
Editor in Chief
Sep 18, 2026294 min read
Blue Jays, Rangers

Meaningful Major League Baseball in late September has reached a much wider fanbase thanks to the expanded playoff format, which allows 12 of the league’s 30 teams (roughly 40 percent), to qualify for the postseason.

That said, this isn't the kind of late-season Toronto Blue Jays-Texas Rangers clash that fans have relished over the years. No bad blood carries over from fisticuffs and a donnybrook at second base, like the one between Rougned Odor and José Bautista back in 2016. There won’t be the electric fan frenzy that followed Bautista’s legendary bat flip after his go-ahead home run in the 2015 ALDS. Those memories of tension and triumph are noticeably absent heading into what could be the last truly relevant regular-season series for two proud franchises.

Both teams are on the outside looking in.

Not Quite The Same Jays v. Rangers

Toronto and Texas enter Friday night tied at 76-77, two games behind the Cleveland Guardians for the final American League Wild Card spot. The Baltimore Orioles are just one game further back, creating a four-team traffic jam around the .500 mark with only nine games remaining. These aren’t two 90-win teams with clear expectations of a deep October run. They are fighting for survival, with every remaining game carrying postseason implications.

The Blue Jays enter Globe Life Field with Dylan Cease on the mound Friday and José Soriano scheduled for Saturday. The Rangers counter with Kumar Rocker and Cal Quantrill.

Quantrill, of course, is the son of former Blue Jays pitcher Paul Quantrill, and he has enjoyed considerable success against Toronto. In three career starts against the Jays, he owns a 1.59 ERA with 21 strikeouts.

The Jays will need a clear plan of attack against his command and ability to generate weak contact. Quantrill isn’t overpowering hitters with an elite fastball that lights up the radar gun. Instead, he works with a five-pitch arsenal designed to keep hitters off balance and induce ground balls. That approach has been particularly effective in 2026. Quantrill is 9-5 with a 2.90 ERA and 81 strikeouts in 108⅔ innings. Since the beginning of August, he’s posted a 1.80 ERA over nine appearances, eight of them starts. If Toronto can’t find holes in the Rangers’ defense and manufacture a rally against Quantrill, Soriano may need to be nearly flawless to keep the Jays within striking distance.

Then Comes Sunday.

That’s when Toronto runs into Jacob deGrom, who has once again looked like one of the game’s premier pitchers down the stretch. The 38-year-old right-hander enters the series with an 11-9 record, a 3.79 ERA and 194 strikeouts over 154⅓ innings. His recent form has been especially impressive. In his last three starts, deGrom has struck out 27 batters over 17 innings while allowing just four earned runs. He struck out 12 Mariners over six scoreless innings on September 10 before returning from recent groin tightness to strike out eight over five innings against Boston on Tuesday. DeGrom has also been particularly effective against Toronto throughout his career. He owns a 1.65 ERA in three career starts against the Blue Jays, including five scoreless innings in his most recent outing v. Toronto in 2025.

The Jays will counter with a bullpen game, putting even more pressure on a pitching staff that has been asked to improvise throughout the season. Toronto’s first bullpen game came on April 4, and by late August, bullpen day had already climbed to fourth on the club’s list of pitchers making starts, with 16 such starts. Braydon Fisher has been a familiar opener, while Spencer Miles has frequently been used in a bulk role.

The strategy has helped Toronto survive a season decimated by rotation injuries, but it also puts considerable pressure on the bullpen to cover multiple innings. That task becomes even more difficult against a Rangers lineup featuring several legitimate power threats. The Jays can’t afford to give Texas an early lead and then ask the bullpen to navigate seven or eight innings against a power-packed lineup.

The Rangers are in the unusual position of chasing both the American League West and the final Wild Card. Texas entered Friday tied with Toronto at 76-77 and two games behind Cleveland for the final Wild Card. The Chicago White Sox and Cleveland Guardians battle for the AL Central lead, the Rangers and Jays need the teams ahead of them to stumble while simultaneously taking care of their own business. That’s a myriad of obstacles with only nine games remaining.

If the Jays lose this series, as they did against the Athletics in Sacramento and then against Detroit earlier this week, the 2026 season could effectively be filed away.

For both Toronto and Texas, this season has been disappointing when factoring in the huge expectations that have remained prevalent from opening day onwards. Now, as they enter the final two weeks, one last glimmer of hope remains. On Friday night, with the two teams entering Globe Life Field separated by nothing but a handful of games and their postseason lives, Arlington should present an atmosphere that somewhat resembles playoff baseball.


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