Final·Oriole Park at Camden Yards

Phillies vs Orioles Recap

Free MLB recap for Friday, July 31, 2026 · powered by DataStreak

AWAY

Philadelphia Phillies

57-53 · L4

HOME

Baltimore Orioles

54-56 · W2

Phillies vs Orioles Prediction

Phillies 4, Orioles 6. Final. The board closed where the picks said it would.

Pete Alonso under 2.5 hits was the play. 19-game streak at -135 heading in. Check the final to see how it landed.

Phillies vs Orioles Picks

5 plays from DataStreak's algorithm — every pick has an 8+ game streak and a 75%+ historical hit rate over the last 20.

MLB

Philadelphia Phillies

Brandon Marsh

under0.5RBI

-220·ESPN BET

Current Streak

8 games

Hit Rate (last 20)

95%

MLB

Philadelphia Phillies

Kyle Schwarber

under0.5HR

-250·ESPN BET

Current Streak

8 games

Hit Rate (last 20)

85%

MLB

Baltimore Orioles

Pete Alonso

under2.5Hits

-135·BetMGM

Current Streak

19 games

Hit Rate (last 20)

95%

MLB

Philadelphia Phillies

Andrew Painter

over2.5So

-345·BetRivers

Current Streak

6 games

Hit Rate (last 20)

82%

Also riding a 8-game streak over 1.5 so.

MLB

Baltimore Orioles

Brandon Young

over3.5So

-162·FanDuel

Current Streak

6 games

Hit Rate (last 20)

70%

Also riding a 6-game streak over 2.5 so.

PHI vs BAL Parlay

Algorithmic, multi-leg, ranked by tier

DataStreak's parlay engine builds three tiers each day across the available picks. Every leg has its own streak + hit-rate behind it; the engine score is its confidence in the combo.

SafeEngine 81

+1042-leg · $10 → $20.40

Same-game combo: Brandon Marsh UNDER 0.5 RBI + Kyle Schwarber UNDER 0.5 HR. Combined hit rate 81% over last 20 games each.

Brandon Marsh

under 0.5 RBI · 95%

-220

Kyle Schwarber

under 0.5 HR · 85%

-250

Injury Report

13 listed

PHI

Johan Rojas
60-Day-Il
Adolis Garcia
60-Day-Il
Lou Trivino
15-Day-Il
Tanner Banks
60-Day-Il
Brad Keller
60-Day-Il
Rafael Marchan
10-Day-Il

BAL

Ryan Mountcastle
60-Day-Il
Chris Bassitt
60-Day-Il
Keegan Akin
60-Day-Il
Ryan Helsley
60-Day-Il
Blaze Alexander
10-Day-Il
Samuel Basallo
10-Day-Il
Adley Rutschman
10-Day-Il

Team Trends

Philadelphia Phillies

• Failed to cover in 6 of last 10 games
• Philadelphia Phillies 21-34 ATS at home this season
• Philadelphia Phillies 20-34 ATS on the road this season
• Philadelphia Phillies 34-45 ATS as a favorite this season

Season ATS: 41-68 ATS
L10 ATS: 4-6 L10 ATS
L5 ATS: 2-3 L5 ATS
Home ATS: 21-34 home ATS
Road ATS: 20-34 road ATS
As Fav: 34-45 ATS as favorite
As Dog: 7-23 ATS as dog
L10 O/U: 0-0 O/U
L10 SU: 0-0

Baltimore Orioles

• Baltimore Orioles 7-3 ATS over the last 10 games
• Baltimore Orioles 24-29 ATS as a favorite this season
• Baltimore Orioles 30-25 ATS as an underdog

Season ATS: 55-54 ATS
L10 ATS: 7-3 L10 ATS
L5 ATS: 4-1 L5 ATS
Home ATS: 29-27 home ATS
Road ATS: 26-27 road ATS
As Fav: 24-29 ATS as favorite
As Dog: 30-25 ATS as dog
L10 O/U: 0-0 O/U
L10 SU: 0-0

Head-to-Head

BAL 3-2 over PHI

Date	Matchup	Score	Winner
2025-08-06	BAL @ PHI	5–1	BAL
2025-08-05	BAL @ PHI	0–5	PHI
2025-08-04	BAL @ PHI	3–13	PHI
2024-06-16	PHI @ BAL	3–8	BAL
2024-06-15	PHI @ BAL	2–6	BAL

Public Betting

Tickets % vs Money %

spread

Philadelphia Phillies

Tickets 36%

Money 31%

Baltimore Orioles

Tickets 64%

Money 69%

64% public on BAL

moneylineSharp side: Baltimore Orioles

Philadelphia Phillies

Tickets 43%

Money 25%

Baltimore Orioles

Tickets 57%

Money 75%

Public on PHI (43% tickets); sharps on BAL (money% 75 vs tickets% 57)

totalSharp side: Over

OVER

Tickets 53%

Money 70%

UNDER

Tickets 47%

Money 30%

Sharps on the over

Weather

Temp

84°F

Wind

5 mph

R To L

Precip

Conditions

Partly Cloudy

outdoor

Bullpen State

DataStreak bullpen score (lower = more rested)

Philadelphia PhilliesRank #12

Fresh

Tired

Overused

Bullpen ERA3.91

WHIP1.27

Baltimore OriolesRank #11

Fresh

Tired

Overused

Bullpen ERA3.25

WHIP1.10

Bullpen fatigue concern

Picks, parlays, injuries, trends, and matchup context powered by DataStreak.

The Final Word

Recap mode. The lines are frozen, the players are showered up, and the prop results are what they are.

Phillies vs Orioles FAQ

Where can I find free Phillies vs Orioles picks for Friday, July 31, 2026?

This page recaps how the Phillies vs Orioles MLB picks closed. For tonight's free MLB picks across all matchups, see today's slate.

What's the prediction for Phillies vs Orioles?

Our prediction is built from team form (records, recent results, win/loss streaks), live moneyline and spread odds across major US books, and DataStreak's algorithmic player-prop research. Every claim on this page is data-backed — no hot takes.

Are these Phillies vs Orioles best bets really free?

Yes. Every prediction, pick, and parlay on this page is free, no signup, no paywall.

How is The Cover different from Covers, ATS, or pay-for-pick services?

Three things. (1) Free, full stop — every page, every day. (2) Picks are algorithmic with transparent quality bars (8+ game streak, 75%+ hit rate over 20 games), not opinion columns. (3) Modern UX: live odds, push notifications, comments, mobile-first PWA install.