1
MLB
Miami MarlinsJanson Junk
over2.5Hits Allowed
-150·DraftKings
Current Streak
9 games
Hit Rate (last 20)
95%
Final·Citi Field
Marlins vs Mets Recap
Free MLB recap for Friday, July 31, 2026 · powered by DataStreak
AWAY
Miami Marlins
56-55 · W1
5
HOME
New York Mets
47-64 · L1
2
Marlins vs Mets Prediction
Wrapped. The Marlins–Mets prop slate hit (or didn't) like the algorithm said. Numbers below.
Going in, Kodai Senga's 14-game streak over 1.5 er was the headline. 80% hit rate over his last 20. The box score above has the verdict on whether the streak held.
Marlins vs Mets Picks
4 plays from DataStreak's algorithm — every pick has an 8+ game streak and a 75%+ historical hit rate over the last 20.
Miami Marlins2
MLBMiami MarlinsXavier Edwards
over0.5Hrbi
-130·ESPN BET
Current Streak
5 games
Hit Rate (last 20)
80%
3
MLB
New York MetsKodai Senga
over1.5Er
+130·DraftKings
Current Streak
14 games
Hit Rate (last 20)
80%
4
MLBMiami MarlinsKyle Stowers
over0.5Hrbi
+110·DraftKings
Current Streak
7 games
Hit Rate (last 20)
70%
MIA vs NYM Parlay
Algorithmic, multi-leg, ranked by tierDataStreak's parlay engine builds three tiers each day across the available picks. Every leg has its own streak + hit-rate behind it; the engine score is its confidence in the combo.
+1952-leg · $10 → $29.50
Same-game combo: Janson Junk OVER 2.5 Hits Allowed + Xavier Edwards OVER 0.5 Hrbi. Combined hit rate 76% over last 20 games each.
Janson Junk
over 2.5 HITS ALLOWED · 95%
Xavier Edwards
over 0.5 HRBI · 80%
+5783-leg · $10 → $67.80
3-leg same-game combo across MIA / NYM hot streaks. Combined hit rate ~61% (independence assumption - book pricing may differ on SGP).
Janson Junk
over 2.5 HITS ALLOWED · 95%
Xavier Edwards
over 0.5 HRBI · 80%
Kodai Senga
over 1.5 ER · 80%
+13244-leg · $10 → $142.40
4-leg same-game combo across MIA / NYM hot streaks. Combined hit rate ~43% (independence assumption - book pricing may differ on SGP).
Janson Junk
over 2.5 HITS ALLOWED · 95%
Xavier Edwards
over 0.5 HRBI · 80%
Kodai Senga
over 1.5 ER · 80%
Kyle Stowers
over 0.5 HRBI · 70%
Injury Report
15 listedMIA
- 60-Day-IlJosh Ekness
- 60-Day-IlAndrew Nardi
- 60-Day-IlRobby Snelling
- 60-Day-IlAdam Mazur
- 15-Day-IlAnthony Bender
- 10-Day-IlOwen Caissie
- 15-Day-IlWilliam Kempner
- 15-Day-IlMax Meyer
- Day-To-DayMichael Petersen
- Day-To-DayLeo Jimenez
NYM
- 60-Day-IlClay Holmes
- 60-Day-IlJustin Hagenman
- 10-Day-IlMark Vientos
- 10-Day-IlJuan Soto
- 15-Day-IlCionel Perez
Team Trends
Miami Marlins
- • Failed to cover in 8 of last 10 games
- • Miami Marlins 26-31 ATS at home this season
- • Miami Marlins 24-29 ATS on the road this season
- • Miami Marlins 24-29 ATS as a favorite this season
- Season ATS
- 50-60 ATS
- L10 ATS
- 2-8 L10 ATS
- L5 ATS
- 2-3 L5 ATS
- Home ATS
- 26-31 home ATS
- Road ATS
- 24-29 road ATS
- As Fav
- 24-29 ATS as favorite
- As Dog
- 26-30 ATS as dog
- L10 O/U
- 0-0 O/U
- L10 SU
- 0-0
New York Mets
- • New York Mets 8-2 ATS over the last 10 games
- • New York Mets 26-30 ATS at home this season
- • New York Mets 24-30 ATS on the road this season
- • New York Mets 28-37 ATS as a favorite this season
- Season ATS
- 50-60 ATS
- L10 ATS
- 8-2 L10 ATS
- L5 ATS
- 5-0 L5 ATS
- Home ATS
- 26-30 home ATS
- Road ATS
- 24-30 road ATS
- As Fav
- 28-37 ATS as favorite
- As Dog
- 22-23 ATS as dog
- L10 O/U
- 0-0 O/U
- L10 SU
- 0-0
Head-to-Head
NYM 4-1 over MIA
| Date | Matchup | Score | Winner |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-30 | MIA @ NYM | 2–4 | NYM |
| 2026-05-31 | MIA @ NYM | 1–10 | NYM |
| 2026-05-30 | MIA @ NYM | 1–6 | NYM |
| 2026-05-29 | MIA @ NYM | 7–9 | NYM |
| 2026-05-24 | NYM @ MIA | 0–4 | MIA |
Public Betting
Tickets % vs Money %spreadSharp side: New York Mets
Miami Marlins
Tickets 40%
Money 22%
New York Mets
Tickets 60%
Money 78%
Public on MIA (40% tickets); sharps on NYM (money% 78 vs tickets% 60)
moneylineSharp side: Miami Marlins
Miami Marlins
Tickets 30%
Money 63%
New York Mets
Tickets 70%
Money 37%
Public on NYM (70% tickets); sharps on MIA (money% 63 vs tickets% 30)
Weather
Temp
80°F
Wind
7 mph
Out
Precip
2%
Conditions
Partly Cloudy
outdoor
Bullpen State
DataStreak bullpen score (lower = more rested)Miami MarlinsRank #26
2
Fresh
5
Tired
0
Overused
Bullpen ERA4.39
WHIP1.24
Bullpen fatigue concern
New York MetsRank #13
0
Fresh
5
Tired
1
Overused
Bullpen ERA2.68
WHIP1.10
Bullpen fatigue concern
Picks, parlays, injuries, trends, and matchup context powered by DataStreak.
The Final Word
Game's done. The board closed, the picks landed where they landed, and the records are in. Read the picks above to see what hit.
Marlins vs Mets FAQ
Where can I find free Marlins vs Mets picks for Friday, July 31, 2026?
This page recaps how the Marlins vs Mets MLB picks closed. For tonight's free MLB picks across all matchups, see today's slate.
What's the prediction for Marlins vs Mets?
Our prediction is built from team form (records, recent results, win/loss streaks), live moneyline and spread odds across major US books, and DataStreak's algorithmic player-prop research. Every claim on this page is data-backed — no hot takes.
Are these Marlins vs Mets best bets really free?
Yes. Every prediction, pick, and parlay on this page is free, no signup, no paywall.
How is The Cover different from Covers, ATS, or pay-for-pick services?
Three things. (1) Free, full stop — every page, every day. (2) Picks are algorithmic with transparent quality bars (8+ game streak, 75%+ hit rate over 20 games), not opinion columns. (3) Modern UX: live odds, push notifications, comments, mobile-first PWA install.